USMNT

USA Has 47% Chance Of Beating Belgium; Updated Odds For Each World Cup Round of 16 Game

Now that the Group stages of the World Cup have concluded, it’s time to review the upcoming Round of 16 games to see which teams have the best odds of advancing through to the quarter-finals of World Cup 2014.

Before we share the data, here’s a note from the editor.

Editor’s note: Chris McFarland’s analysis beat Nate Silver’s Soccer Power Index predictions for the Group stages of the World Cup. Silver’s predictions were 56.25% correct, while McFarland scored a 62.5% success rate. McFarland’s analysis that the USA would advance from the Group stage was also correct.

Round of 16 odds:

Saturday, June 28

Round of 16 — Brazil vs Chile, Noon ET

Brazil 88%
Chile 12%

Round of 16 — Uruguay vs Colombia, 4pm ET, ABC, Watch ABC,

Colombia 60%
Uruguay 40%

 

Sunday, June 29

Round of 16 — Mexico vs Netherlands, Noon ET

Netherlands 68%
Mexico 32%

Round of 16 — Costa Rica vs Greece, 4pm ET

Costa Rica 49.56%
Greece 50.44% 

 

Monday, June 30

Round of 16 — France vs Nigeria, Noon ET

France 73%
Nigeria 27%

Round of 16 — Germany vs Algeria, 4pm ET

Germany 92%
Algeria 8%

 

Tuesday, July 1

Round of 16 — Argentina vs Switzerland, Noon ET

Argentina 84%
Switzerland 16%

Round of 16 — USA vs Belgium, 4pm ET

Belgium 52.58%
USA 47.42%

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