2026 FIFA World Cup: Three teams emerging near qualification — What needs to happen and who are the candidates?

The CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers return today with Matchday 16, featuring several crucial matchups that could determine the fate of multiple teams. Ecuador, Paraguay, and Brazil all have a chance to officially book their spots for the 2026 World Cup—depending on how tonight’s results play out.

With Argentina already qualified, there are still five direct spots and one intercontinental playoff berth up for grabs. Ecuador and Paraguay currently sit in second place with 24 points each, followed by Brazil with 22. Uruguay and Colombia trail close behind with 21 points apiece.

Meanwhile, Venezuela holds seventh place with 18 points, which would be enough for a playoff spot if the standings held. Their match tonight against Uruguay is critical and will influence many of the qualification scenarios.

What do Ecuador and Paraguay need to qualify for the 2026 World Cup tonight?

Ecuador, who faces Peru, and Paraguay, who goes up against Brazil, will qualify if they earn a better result than Venezuela. If Venezuela loses, a draw would be enough. However, if Venezuela draws, Ecuador and Paraguay would need to win to punch their tickets to the World Cup.

What does Brazil need to qualify for the 2026 World Cup tonight?

With two games remaining, Brazil can secure a World Cup berth tonight if they defeat Paraguay and Venezuela loses. Carlo Ancelotti’s squad is coming off a scoreless draw against Ecuador, but with home-field advantage, they’ll be under pressure to deliver three points.

Which teams could be eliminated on Matchday 16?

Bolivia, Peru, and Chile all face potential elimination tonight. Bolivia (14 points) would be out of contention if they lose to Chile (10 points) and Venezuela wins. Peru (11 points) and Chile will also be eliminated if they fail to win or if Venezuela earns a victory.