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Premiership Preview–10. West Ham

West Ham United FC Premiership Preview  10. West Ham I think it would come as a surprise to many to know that West Ham, not Middlesbrough, not Aston Villa, not any of the promoted clubs, had the highest average of English players in their starting lineups (6.61/11) in the 2007-2008 Premiership season. That surprise symbolizes a commonly-held feeling towards West Ham from outside those associated with the club in one form or another: apathy.

West Ham is the fourth club in London, behind Chelsea, Arsenal, and Tottenham, and ahead of the likes of Fulham, Crystal Palace, Millwall, Charlton Athletic, and QPR. Their status behind those bigger teams means they’re often overlooked by the masses, and the fact that they haven’t won anything lately like those three have only makes matters worse. West Ham flies under the radar; they’re good for an upset or two every season like we saw last year with Manchester United and Liverpool and the year before with United on the final day of the season, but the fact of the matter is they’re a middling Premiership club in a city with tons of other entertainment options, sporting and non-sporting.

This ignorance is a shame, too, because West Ham has fantastic supporters and, at least in my opinion, one of the best, most charming stadiums in the country. The club fights a constant battle to escape the broad shadows left by their North London rivals and Chelsea in the western part of town. The only thing that will get them more exposure outside of East London is success. Until then, interesting statistics like the one I led this preview with aren’t going to be associated with West Ham, simply because the team itself isn’t one of the first that comes to mind when you’re talking about soccer in England.

West Ham finished 10th last year and had an outside shot at qualifying for the UEFA Cup until the final two months of the season, when they essentially packed it in because there was just no way they could vault the four or five teams necessary to make it into Europe.

Manager Alan Curbishley acquired Swiss international Valon Behrami from Lazio in the Hammers’ only big move so far this summer. I dedicated a post to this signing the day it occurred (July 23) so you can check the archives on my own site for more detailed analysis of it, but in brief, bringing the young, versatile winger in was a good move for West Ham. He adds Champions League experience to a club that has tasted nothing positive in European competition in a long while, can play either flank and right back if necessary, and stands out from the plethora of wide midfielders already employed by the team.

A few spare parts have left Upton Park; Nolberto Solano was released by Curbishley as he was excess to requirements after Behrami was signed, Bobby Zamora was likely going to be fourth on the striker’s depth chart with the return from injury of Craig Bellamy, and despite John Paintsil’s quality play at the international level for Ghana, he couldn’t break into the starting lineup at right back for West Ham with Lucas Neill on the roster.

Curbishley lost some depth players and really only added Behrami, but this is one of the deepest first team rosters in the Premiership already, so not much tooling around was necessary. The main issue with West Ham, and it’s been a huge problem for the past couple of seasons, is the number of injuries suffered by key players. Bellamy missed most of last year with nagging problems in multiple areas. Kieron Dyer’s right leg was broken in two places in only his second competitive game with the club. Julien Faubert’s ruptured Achilles tendon prevented him from making his first appearance until January 12, and he also was plagued by nagging injuries even after that game. A knee injury to Scott Parker cost him two months in the winter (Dec. 29 – Feb. 23). Freddie Ljungberg missed two weeks in January with a hamstring problem, and the list goes on and on.

When everyone is healthy, which is no guarantee with the players on this team, West Ham’s strongest area is midfield. If you’ll notice, all of the injured players I just mentioned are midfielders, aside from Bellamy, and yet capable replacements like Luis Boa Morte, Lee Bowyer, and Matthew Etherington filled in nicely. Mark Noble and Hayden Mullins are steady in the center of the pitch, and those two should again feature in the middle. Parker is a nice asset to have there as well. There’s never been any question of his ability, it’s just been a matter of staying healthy. Faubert and Dyer are capable on the flanks, though it’ll be interesting to see how much (if at all) their injuries from last season will slow them down in the future.

Projected Starting Lineup (4-4-2):
GK: Robert Green

RB: Neill (captain)
CB: Matthew Upson
CB: Anton Ferdinand
LB: George McCartney

RMF: Behrami
CMF: Mullins
CMF: Noble
LMF: Boa Morte

ST: Dean Ashton
*ST: Bellamy Carlton Cole

West Ham opens the season in ridiculously easy fashion with an eight-game stretch that could launch the Hammers near the top of the table if they take care of business like they should. They’ll welcome Wigan, Blackburn, Newcastle, and Bolton to Upton Park while traveling to Manchester City, West Brom, Fulham, and Hull City. Six wins in these games is realistic, and even seven isn’t too daunting given the opponents. This is probably the easiest run of fixtures any Premiership team will see all season — no exaggeration.

The schedule balances out, of course, and West Ham will play Arsenal (home) and Manchester United (away) in a two-day span in late October. Starting in early November and lasting all the way to the turn of the new year, the Hammers will face six clubs competing in Europe this season in a nine-game stretch, including Portsmouth twice, with a game at Sunderland and another against Stoke City in East London over that period as well.

That game with Stoke is the first of four in a row that should be pretty straightforward for West Ham. Three of the four are at home — Stoke, Fulham, Hull — and the other is at Newcastle.

Curbishley’s side then closes out the season with five tough games in six overall, with dates at Tottenham, Aston Villa, and Everton going along with home games against Chelsea and Liverpool.

Remember, West Ham has developed a tendency to play very well against big-name, high-profile opposition and follow up those great performances with absolute duds in games they should win. That long run of matches to begin the season will tell me a lot about this team. If they do well, maybe 5-2-1, 6-2-0, 7-0-1, something like that, I’ll begin to take West Ham much more seriously.

Bottom Line: I just said it — West Ham will set the tone for their whole season with the way they start. If they bottle it in those games, any potential upset over a top team is meaningless to me because it’s just a flash in the pan. The Hammers need to show some consistency, and that starts with staying healthy, the other key to their season. Unfortunately, a lot of the players on this team are prone to getting hurt — Parker and Bellamy chief among them. They have enough quality on the roster to make a push towards Europe, but anything like last year’s injury woes will set them back too far.

Update (08/06): Freddie Ljungberg and West Ham agreed to mutual termination of the player’s contract today, so obviously he won’t be in the starting lineup like I’d originally projected when I wrote this article last night. In his place, I’m moving Behrami over to the right and inserting Luis Boa Morte.

*Update (08/07): Bellamy has just picked up yet another injury and will miss the first few weeks of the season. Insert Cole into Bellamy’s spot alongside Ashton.

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15 Responses to Premiership Preview–10. West Ham

  1. PB says:

    Good writtern article! I concur with everything said! Up the hammers .. hope they beat the injury hex..

  2. tampasoccer says:

    Very balanced analysis. If, as you said, they start well, the early momentum can see them finish as high as 8th. Bottom line, they will be somewhere in the middle-between 8th and 13th place.

  3. Chairboys says:

    Thanks for all your previews – nice work! Just a note that Freddie Ljungberg has been released from the club.

  4. Michael says:

    Yep, I just read that right now, and I’m in the process of editing this post as I type this.

  5. Stephen says:

    Nice review, although you won’t get many Hammers fans agreeing with your midfield line-up (what a surprise!). I think Scott Parker will start ahead of Mullins and we might see Etherington instead of Boa Morte.

  6. Michael says:

    Stephen, you could be right about Parker, it just all depends on him staying healhy.

    The thing with Boa Morte is he played more up front last season than he did on the left wing, but with Bellamy back, that leaves three players ahead of Boa Morte for two spots. Because he can also play on the left side and did so last year, I think you’ll see him get a chance out there again. You can’t really convince me that Etherington is a better player than Boa Morte, who offers more on the field.

  7. Dan says:

    I think Behrami may feature as the left mid, and Faubert as the right. And Parker is definitely starting in the middle assuming he’s healthy.

    Fair article though.

  8. Michael says:

    That’s the thing, it’s at a point with Parker now where you can’t assume he’s going to be healthy anymore. Faubert is the same way, he couldn’t stay healthy either even when he recovered from the Achilles problem.

    Behrami is a nice add because as I said, he can play both wings, and even fill in in a pinch at right back. He may interchange wings anyway when he’s out there.

  9. dustin says:

    well ,i guess you had not heard that bellamy is injured AGAIN.what a suprise.we are in for the same type of year again.
    parker will start 10 games or so the rest he will be on the sidelines witth knee flare ups.

  10. Gaffa says:

    Obviously u guys watched no west ham games last year..
    For starters a fit scottie parker is better then a fit Hayden Mullins.. so he’ll start alongside Noble.
    Also Boa Morte is possibly one of the worst players i have eva seen put on a Claret and Blue shirt.. he tries his hart out.. but hes absolutely useless.. either Behrami or Ethers will play on the left imo…
    Also whys Faubert not mentioned? He’ll be starting on right wing.. hes flying in pre-season atm.
    UP THE IRONS..

  11. Ben says:

    Curbs need’s to sign at least 2 more players if we are going to do anything this season. Gaffa your right, Boa Morte is one of the worst players ive ever seen in the premier league let alone a West Ham shirt.

  12. GoatyGav says:

    Much of what you’ve said here is true. Your analysis is purely from the perspective of the coming season. No mention is given to the “Academy” players who you will start to see introduced throughout the season. James Tomkins is already pressing Anton Ferdinand and Matthew Upson very hard and there are many more who are coming through with Tony Carr’s Tutelage.

    There is a long term plan at the club to develop youth talent and then, contrary to past strategy, keep them at the club to be integrated in to a well established team that will have a good understanding of each other. This is the plan.

    Just one question for you. You mentioned several times in your piece teams that are “Taken Seriously.” Is your only success criteria winning the league? I can assure you that the other 19 teams in the Premier league take West Ham seriously. Mainly because they realize that on their day they’re a match for anyone but also out of respect for a team with home grown talent and an proud and long history for playing enterprising, attacking and entertaining football.

    Increasingly football is about money. The more you have the more success you can buy. There is, however, a more admirable way than just buying success. What West Ham are trying to do is build on strong foundations.

    I sincerely hope it goes to plan.

    Outside of this you’ve listed a very weak first eleven. I would be more inclined to go: -

    GK Green
    LB Behrami
    CB Tomkins
    CB Upson
    RB McCartney
    LM Etherington
    CM Parker
    CM Noble
    RM Faubert
    CF Ashton
    CF Cole(Bellamy when fit)

    Neill and Boa Morte were atrocious last term and Mullins has to move up a level to come up to Parker’s quality. Faubert simply scares the living daylights out of opposition defenders. He’s West Ham’s one to watch this year.

    You may be in for a surprise – if your well made point about staying fit and injury free comes true.

    COME ON U IRONS!!!!!

  13. Michael says:

    McCartney started every game at left back last season, so I can’t see him moving to right back, and especially not to accommodate Behrami, who is a winger first, right back second, left back never.

    I understand Parker is a better player than Mullins, but Parker is NEVER healthy for any length of time. You know his track record; it would be foolish to rely on him to start more than 20 games this year.

    My criteria for success isn’t winning the league, it’s based on a couple things: consistent top-10 finishes, qualification for European competition, and deep runs in the domestic cups. Like I’ve said, West Ham is always good for pulling off an upset or two, but it doesn’t mean anything to me if they can’t consistently play well against the teams they should beat. They step up their game against United and Liverpool, but overlook their next opponent so much that you wonder if you watched a completely different team the week before.

    To add one more academy player to your list, Freddie Sears is one that will get also get some time up front.

  14. Kennyhammer says:

    Well thought out article, I hope LBM leaves the club in this window. He has performed well at his previous clubs but, he just doesn’t seem to fit our system of play, choosing the wrong pass or shooting when the better option is to play someone else in. It appears that AC has less say in transfers and he only targets players he would like then leaves it to BG ,SD and Nani. This must be better to help stabilize the club.
    If AC’s Charlton credentials are correct his sides always start the season well and tail off after Xmas so our fixtures would favour this. I hope we can improve this year with players fit but I fear we will end up 10th or worse, we are becoming the new charlton of the EPL, safe but unattractive to watch, after fifty nail biting years as a supporter I don’t like this. At these ticket prices I can stay at home and be bored sh**less looking at the wife. Wherever we end up in the league let’s play some entertaining stuff not negitive football like last year.
    Let’s blow some bl**dy great bubbles and finish above Sp**s!

  15. Sp*ds says:

    yer to rite f*ck spurs

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