Why Nobody Wins In The Football Manager Sack Race
In the Championship most of the sackings have taken place near the bottom of the table as chairman try desperately to save their club’s season, but this cannot work for every club as someone has to be relegated to League One next season.
There is certainly something to be said about new manager syndrome, research shows that most managers enjoy a honeymoon period where they are unlikely to be dismissed.
Yet the evidence shows this is rarely a permanent change in fortunes, I found a fascinating article that compares the average points levels of club both before and after the sacking of a manager since the inception of the Premier League to 2008.
The report shows that although there is on an average a marked improvement in results upon sacking a manager, but this is on average negated within 13-18 games of the sacking as the average points per game return falls to the pre-sacking level.
Even if you ignore a numbers based approach, the football system is set up in a vicious cycle for today’s managers, it seems like every club is fighting just to survive and the numbers and expectations just do not stack up.
You have to be realistic, whilst it seems like I am stating the obvious, it seems that many of those controlling our football clubs have forgotten that not every team can play in the Premier League and not every club can avoid relegation. Yet relegation or a few bad results alone do not turn a manager into damaged goods.
If this was the case then few managers would get more than one management appointment however it has turned into a circus, some managers seem to bounce from club to club with little time to make a positive impact.
Whilst there will always be a point where a manager can instill confidence in his players or display any sign that things can improve, a system where nearly half of clubs change manager cannot be sustainable particularly when there is a fat settlement cheque to pay.
What is the Impact of Changing Football Manager? – Sue Bridgewater