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Who Will Win the 2014 World Cup?

It is incredibly hard to predict the winner of the Soccer World Cup, about to kick off in Brazil. Of course, most soccer fans would ideally love to see their own country winning the coveted trophy, but there is a big difference between wishful thinking and playing the odds statistically.

The advantage of home turf

For those neutral fans, many would pick Brazil to win. They have won the tournament on 5 separate occasions and are the only team ever to have appeared in all of the World Cups.  And of course, there is home team advantage.

However, when Brazil last hosted their last World Cup sixty years ago, they were beaten in the final by Uruguay. Of course it’s a completely different squad now, but if one looks back at South Africa in 2010, the host nation did not even progress to the second round after losing to Uruguay in the group stages and it looks as if Uruguay could be a bogey team for some of the favourites going into this year’s competition again.

It’s all about goals 

So if home ground advantage isn’t the best way to go about placing bets on the winner of the tournament, what else should one consider? In order to win a match, you need to score goals. So this simple logic could be applied to the form shown in the qualifying rounds where Argentina scored the most goals by a long way. So what about Argentina lifting the trophy? With the likes of Lionel Messi – arguably the world’s best striker – goals should not be hard to come by for the Argentinians. However, Messi struggled in the 2010 tournament. However, they looked well on course in 2010, having scored heaps of goals past their opponents, before being thrashed by the Germans 4-0, thereby ending their charge to the finals. This then begs another question. How good is the defense?

Defense needs to be solid

It’s all good and well to have a set of strikers that can net your team all the goals it needs, but if you have a porous defense you’re quickly back to the drawing board. Looking again at the qualifying rounds, Colombia may not have scored the most goals, but they nevertheless conceded the least, making one wonder if this nation could be a dark horse.

On average, fewer goals seem to be scored in World Cup games, simply due to the higher level of competition and somewhat less flair shown, as teams seem to play far more conservatively. This could play into the hands of teams like Colombia. And with the top 10 goalkeepers scheduled to appear in Brazil for the tournament, goals will be even harder to score.

What about Spain?

Many members of Spain’s squad seem still be around for this year’s tournament, but do the defending champions have what it takes to repeat 2010? The squad is after all 4 years older and they do not have the same unbeaten momentum going into Brazil as they did leading up to South Africa.

This year’s winner is not easy to predict. However, a good look at form leading into the tournament should give the best gauge as to how the teams will perform. One thing is for certain – there will be some interesting bets placed. Click here for other gambling options.

Who will win the 2014 FIFA World Cup? Vote in the poll and then share your opinion in the comments section below.

[polldaddy poll=8105398]

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16 Comments

16 Comments

  1. Lawrence Naicker

    July 12, 2014 at 3:18 pm

    I think that Brazil will win!Go Brazil

  2. Shiva kumar

    July 8, 2014 at 6:28 am

    I predict the Germany to win the cup. I have done a simple analysis in my web site.

  3. nitin

    July 6, 2014 at 1:39 am

    ! @m sure THAT brazil will wn!!!!!!!!!!!!

  4. jay

    July 4, 2014 at 1:39 pm

    Holand will be the winner of this worldcup2014.

  5. Elton Dube

    July 4, 2014 at 9:22 am

    Brasilia , doubtless …. Germany -toothless lions , Holland – empty tins making unecessary noise … and BRASIL the “A” team

    • Edward

      July 5, 2014 at 3:11 pm

      Brasilia is the capital of brasil, dumbass.

  6. Rob

    June 13, 2014 at 2:13 am

    Italy will win they are the best and are playing really good in the last three friendlies. So Italy will beat all of your teams.

  7. Kanu Sarkar

    June 8, 2014 at 5:10 am

    BRAZIL will win 2014 World Cup

    • Naresh

      July 2, 2014 at 2:09 am

      There is no doubt BRAZIL will win world cup trophy 2014 in own home soil.

  8. Moe

    June 7, 2014 at 2:17 am

    Uruguay wins the world cup…the seer has spoken…

  9. Abdirahman

    June 6, 2014 at 5:15 pm

    I strogly believe either germany or brazil w’ll win it, but if i had to pick one i think it’s germany. 2002 world cup final 2006&2010 third place finish, they were so un-lucky all this occassions i think it’s forth time lucky this time.

  10. charlesmartins

    June 6, 2014 at 12:06 pm

    surely holland will be the favourable team in this tournament to lift the trophy because they normally gets to the final as far as football is concern they will definitly.

    • Steevy Jean Yves

      July 11, 2014 at 11:41 am

      Yes Brazil will won this cup associated

  11. Clampdown

    June 6, 2014 at 9:25 am

    USA! USA!

    (I voted for Argentina)

  12. eltricolor2014

    June 6, 2014 at 9:24 am

    Germany always plays well in World Cups and while some teams wilt in the heat, Germany has done well in warm climate conditions. That said, it would be very difficult to beat Brasil at home, you have to imagine every Brasilian player will be focused to win and not repeat 1950.

  13. nwachukwu matthew

    June 6, 2014 at 9:21 am

    it is a great opportunit for brazil to win the world cup

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