World Cup 2014 Simulation: Our Calculations Of Who Will Advance Past the Group Stage Chris McFarland May 31, 2014 World Cup, World Cup 2014 24 Comments 1. RUSSIA2. BELGIUM ———————————— 3. SOUTH KOREA 4. ALGERIA Upcoming The next article in the series evaluates the elimination rounds and give the percentage chance of each team winning the World Cup.Pages 1 2 3 4 5 Tweet Pin It About The Author Chris McFarland24 Comments Jake May 31, 2014 The US and Russia are nowhere near as good as Belgium. Russia isn’t the favorite for the group and the US would be fighting for second place same as in Group G. Reply CH May 31, 2014 LOL i probably disagree with every single group prediction.Dont see Mexico, Greece, Russia advancing.Ghana, Italy & Japan are waaaaayy underrated.We’ll see though 11 days til the games start. Reply Cousi June 4, 2014 Tru dat bro.ITALY clear for pass through group stage,ENGLAND isn’t such a huge threat.GHANA will certainly pass thru too!!!! Reply xoxo June 25, 2014 HAHA that awkward moment when both mexico and greece advanced…. OH YA and japan and italy are eliminated and ghana has such little hope at this moment……………………. Reply chg June 27, 2014 If the USA keeps going farther in the World Cup than Italy, maybe one day the 7th generation American, frontrunning “Italia” fans in NY and NJ will actually cheer for their home country. Reply Brian May 31, 2014 So no African or Asian nation will get out of the group stage? I doubt it. Reply Chris McFarland May 31, 2014 I think it is quite likely Nigeria will get out of Group F. 41% chance for Bosnia versus 34% for Nigeria. That is almost an even toss, with a slight edge to Bosnia. Reply Ber June 27, 2014 And you were right after all! Reply chg June 27, 2014 You were right! One of them made it! YAY!!!! Reply Smokey Bacon May 31, 2014 Sounds suspiciously similar to the Goldman Sachs statistical model that used data from every competitive international since 1960. I think their boffins had Brazil winning it all with a greater than 50% probability. Reply Chris McFarland May 31, 2014 Do you have a link to those sim results? I’d love to see them. That matches up very closely to the result my sim came up with. Reply Smokey Bacon May 31, 2014 Google Goldman Sachs World Cup and Economics 2014. Reply Bo May 31, 2014 England advancing over Italy? umm yeah..sure… Reply Abdirahman June 1, 2014 Group a: brazil&croatia. Group b: holland&spain. Group c :colombia&ivry coast. Group d: uruguay&england. Group e: france&ecaudor. Group f. Argentina&nigeria. Group g. Germany&portugal. Group h. Belgium&russia. Reply chg June 27, 2014 LOL. Hilarious to read all the Euro-snob predictions.Every Group: 1. Europe 1 2. Europe 2/S. AmericaTurns out the Europeans aren’t too tough when the travel burden is finally placed on them. Reply Alex June 1, 2014 great article. you mention that the statistics don’t show the Belgians as a dark horse, because the odds have them to finish their group in second. However, isn’t that the point of being a dark horse. Reply Ugo June 2, 2014 Nigeria is going to raise eyebrows in Brazil…Strap yourselves folks because its gonna be a bumpy ride. Reply Ben June 9, 2014 The Nigeria team that the US steamrolled on Saturday won’t win a point if they play like that. They looked woefully out of shape and way out of their depth. Very disappointing for a team with a lot of promise. Reply Kimani June 5, 2014 This is only semi-credible. Teams like Germany and Brazil will do well, but many others will struggle and be left with egg on their faces. African teams will shock fancied teams Reply Kimani June 5, 2014 Half of these predictions are way off. A lot of fancied teams will be left with egg on their faces…. Reply pamela June 6, 2014 I’m Chilean, obviously we know we are on the most competitive group of the cup, however players like Alexis Sanchez, Arturo Vidal, Claudio Bravo and Jorge Valdivia, among others, make us hope we are going to qualify. Don’t disqualified us just jet. Reply klreddy June 27, 2014 Argentina is going to win fifa world cup Reply ben June 30, 2014 Humorous how wrong these predictions turned out. Reply MadMan June 30, 2014 80% of you expectations are WRONG .. dear you proof that you are poorest than Algeria .. by the way Algeria advanced to the 16 stage before play a strong match against Germany .. the first lesson in fifa world cup 2014 is : Don’t expect any thing ReplyLeave a Reply Cancel reply Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment.