Here are the odds for the top 10 teams most likely to win the 2014 FIFA World Cup. Note that the numbers were calculated before today’s World Cup games.
1. Brazil — 55%
2. Argentina — 17%
La Albiceleste keep benefiting more from the big names dropping out than Brazil, which may be because Brazil has a tough first R16 match on the horizon.
3. Germany — 7.6%
The draw against Ghana clobbered their rating.
4. Netherlands — 5.9%
Another win increases their rating and they accrue incremental improvement.
5. Chile — 3.7%
The big improvement this round. Chile are now legitimate contenders for the World Cup.
6. Colombia — 3.4%
Also in the mix for a surprise World Cup win.
7. France — 3%
They keep chewing up their easy group. Their rating is soaring because of big wins and they will face either Nigeria or Iran in the R16.
8. Mexico — 0.83%
Mexico have more chances with the big names dropping out.
9. Belgium — 0.72%
They seem intent on making their World Cup as difficult as possible but are now on the top ten list and will likely face the USA or Ghana in R16.
10. USA — 0.72%
The USA were one minute away from being in 8th place on this list.
Odds are according to Chris McFarland of Share Draft.
Read Chris’s simulations of who will advance past the group stage, as well as who will advance through the knockout stages to win the World Cup.
SEE MORE — Everything you need to know about the World Cup.