Another week, another punt at picking some winners from the Premier League deck.

First though, a little look back at last week where I didn’t get any of my three picks right.   They were all long-ish odds and I think I can count myself unlucky with two of them.  Everyone and their dog is talking how Boro deserved to get all three points at Anfield, and Bolton missed a penalty when the score was 0-0.

Forewarned is fore-armed, so on to this week:

Bolton v West Brom – Home Win (@ 5/6)

Bolton did reasonably well last week despite going down to Newcastle.  There was that penalty plus another couple of great chances spurned.  West Brom are quickly finding out how difficult this league is and I worry they are going to find themselves stranded at the foot of the table.

Sunderland v Man City – Home Win (@ 6/5)

Sunderland stood up well to Liverpool in the first week and took all three points from Spurs a week later.  Man City bounced back to best West Ham, but I wasn’t impressed  – they still took half-an-hour to score after the Hammers went down to ten men.   Back to Earth with a bump for City in the UEFA Cup on Thursday, and I’m betting on another bad result on Sunday.

Aston Villa v Liverpool – Home Win (@ 7/4)

Villa stumbled against Stoke but are still playing well.  The term Lucky Liverpool has come into the fore in the last couple of weeks.  They’ll be without Gerrard this weekend and I’m betting against the Reds getting lucky for a fourth time.  Betting against Liverpool is risky, but this price represents value.

Be lucky.