Chelsea is Closer to Winning the Premier League Title Than You Think

chelsea-shirt.jpgCan Avram Grant and Chelsea do the seemingly impossible job of overtaking Manchester United and winning the 2008/2009 Premier League title? Before you laugh at the suggestion, consider the following facts:

  • Out of the final seven games for Manchester United, Chelsea and Arsenal, Avram Grant’s side has the easiest schedule.
  • The toughest match they have is at home against Manchester United on Saturday, April 26 at Stamford Bridge. Man United, in addition to facing Chelsea, has to play Arsenal on Sunday, April 13. Arsenal, meanwhile, has to play Man United and Liverpool (April 5).
  • Chelsea’s undefeated home record in the Premier League still stands at four years. If Man United loses against Chelsea and one other of their remaining matches and then wins the remaining games, Man United will end the season with 88 points. If Chelsea is able to win their remaining games, including beating Man United at Stamford Bridge, the Blues will end the season with 89 points, and the title will be theirs.
  • Out of their last seven games, Chelsea has four at Stamford Bridge, while Man Utd has three at Old Trafford.
  • Looking at the schedules for Chelsea and Man United, here are their remaining matches: Chelsea — Middlesbrough (home), Man City (away), Wigan (h), Everton (a), Man Utd (h), Newcastle (a) and Bolton (h). Manchester United — Aston Villa (h), Middlesbrough (a), Arsenal (h), Blackburn (a), Chelsea (a), West Ham (h) and Wigan (a).
  • Chelsea has only lost three matches this season compared to Man United who has lost four.
  • Possibly the biggest impact on the Premier League title race will be what happens in the Champions League. Note that Chelsea has the easier quarter-final match after being paired against Fenerbahce, while Man United has the tricky tie against Roma.

Sure, the Premier League title is in Man United’s hands right now, but if Chelsea can continue to quietly win their remaining matches, they have a fighting chance to win the title as long as the Red Devils slip up.

7 thoughts on “Chelsea is Closer to Winning the Premier League Title Than You Think”

  1. There are some big ‘Ifs’ in that analysis:

    – IF Chelsea beat United at Stamford Bridge
    – IF Man U lose one of their other matches
    – IF Chelsea win all of their remaining fixtures

    While it’s not impossible for Chelsea to win the league the odds are heavily stacked against them. Chelsea must beat United in their crunch tie. A draw will do United. Chelsea may indeed be closer to winning the Premier League that it appears at first glance but they are not ‘that’ close.

  2. I think it’s almost impossible Chelsea win all their remaining games, with Man City away after an away CL game being the hardest. And I don’t really see Chelsea winning that one. Chelsea will either drop points there or at Everton.

  3. Focusing on the away fixtures for Chelsea. Citizens are a different story now. They won only one of their last 5 matches, when the refs helped them against Sp*rs. Please remember that Chelsea is the best in the league considering the away matches gaining just -3 points less than at SB. In last 13 meetings between those 2 sides Chelsea won 11! – draw 1 and lost 1. Lately Everton also is not as strong as it used to be earlier this season plus they won only once against Chelsea during the last 8 years, and Newcastle won’t be a problem. The teams that Chelsea will have to face are a good sides, but looking at the history, they always had problems against The Blues. No doubt that ManU at home will be key, but i also count on Villa being able to make an upset, the same Borough can do (both tied with Gunners lately). Arsenal, Blackburn and WHU are also able to get a point against ManU, and Chelsea needs United to draw only twice. CFC a champion? Really possible

  4. If Arsenal beat Man U the real decider would be the Blackburn game. This is a game that Man U cannot even afford to draw. A draw at the bridge is a likely scenario. Its a case of who smells blood will reap the benefits. Other than the aforementioned,I then can only see the title going to Old trafford

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