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Prediction: Fulham Will Not Be Relegated

Posted on by tyduffy

400x400 1188659733 spt ai fulham v spurs 17 Prediction: Fulham Will Not Be Relegated

Fulham FC sprang back to life on Sunday, with a startling 1-0 victory over European-bound Everton.

The win, Fulham’s fourth of the season, places gives them 23 pts – an effective four points away from safety.

However, Odds and Sods will now make a bold prediction.  Fulham will not be relegated.
The club has momentum.

Fulham finally has started to mesh in this latter part of the season, spurred by the return of Jimmy Bullard and Brian McBride.  They have also had an impressive run, earning four points from two grueling fixtures against top half opposition in Everton and Blackburn.

The club was unlucky at the onset, bafflingly blowing a few first-half leads, followed by a morbid holiday respite – lasting through Februrary.  Fulham are a decent side with extraordinarily bad luck.  They are due for some good football.

Fulham also have an easier schedule.

They do face a problem.  They have only three home matches remaining and have not won away all season.  However, two winnable relegation six-pointers come in the next two away matches at Newcastle (Mar. 22) and at Derby (Mar 29.).  They also have additional six-pointers with Sunderland and Birmingham at home and Reading away.  Should Fulham climb the table it will come at the direct expense of their fellow bottom dwellers.

The only top four side that Fulham play is Liverpool at home (Apr. 19) – who may be conserving players for a Champions League run.
If Fulham finagles four points, from the next two matches.  That leaves them with 27 pts with six matches remaining.  If they again get four from Sunderland and Birmingham at home, that is 31 pts.  It’s not unreasonable they get four pts from the other four matches amassing the total 35 pts.  That may be enough to keep them up, particularly with some help.

That estimate also assumes merely a reasonable level of competence, not an impressive run.

Bolton have a much tougher road.  They still must travel to Man Utd., Chelsea, Aston Villa and Tottenham.  They also host Arsenal and Man City.  They have only one relegation six-pointer at home to Sunderland (May 3.).  Relegation seems a certainty at this point.

Birmingham have a slightly less arduous schedule, but still must host Liverpool, Man City, Blackburn and Everton.

Sunderland still have to host Man City and Arsenal and travel to Aston Villa.

Any fixture poses a problem for the soccer circus at this point.  But Newcastle face away matches with Tottenham, West Ham, Portsmouth and Everton.  They also host Chelsea in the penultimate match.

It’s not impossible that one or two teams from this group take a tumble, opening a door for Fulham.

They do have the fewest points, but they have the edge in talent and the easiest schedule.  If Fulham can denounce their doldrums and play at close to their potential, there is no reason they can’t avoid the drop.

7 Responses to Prediction: Fulham Will Not Be Relegated

  1. martintheveg says:

    I lke this writer.
    Keep the faith.
    C.O.Y.W.

  2. Ahmed Bilal says:

    easier schedule, maybe, but edge in talent?

  3. BillE Shears says:

    They have serviceable strikers and midfielders capable of scoring goals. I think that puts them ahead of Bolton and Sunderland. I would also give them an edge over Birmingham.

    Newcastle is undoubtedly the most talented team in that bunch, but they all seem to have quit.

  4. Ferd says:

    If you want to get fired up about Fulham check out this video posted on the teams website.
    http://www.fulhamfc.com/Club/News/NewsArticles/2008/March/ComeOnYouWhites.aspx

  5. Kartik says:

    I’m probably the only person on this site that watches MLS regularly. I can tell you if an MLS team were depending on Clint Dempsey, Eddie Johnson, Carlos Bocanegra and Brian McBride to make the playoffs, they may sneak in with the 6th, 7th or 8th seed. None of those players were extraordinary in MLS. Boca and Dempsey won rookie of the year and subsequently did not improve until leaving. Dempsey departure actually IMPROVED New England by returning Pat Noonan to his natural position.

    Eddie Johnson? He’s a joke.

    McBride, had one really good year in MLS (1996) followed by several mediocre to bad ones plagued by injuries before leaving. He was always a standout for the national team however.

    The EPL is obviously far superior to MLS, but any team counting on these players cannot stay up. It’s that simple. They have to hope Bullard and Davies keeps them up because the Americans will not: they aren’t capable, other than Keller who is now almost 38.

  6. T says:

    I love that photo.

  7. Nick says:

    How right you were, and how wrong was Kartik! McBride is now a Fulham legend, and Dempsey is a proven EPL star

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