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Gaps Open at The Top and Bottom of Premier League

relegation Gaps Open at The Top and Bottom of Premier LeagueWe’re reaching the stage of the Premier League season where gaps are starting to open up and the top and bottom of the table. Now we can categorically say that the Premiership race this season is a three horse race with Arsenal and Man United both tied on 57 points, and Chelsea in third with 53 points.

I still wouldn’t count Chelsea out from winning the trophy this season. All they have to hope for is that Arsenal and Man United both lose on one weekend while Chelsea wins, which will close the gap to just one point.

Looking ahead, both Man United and Arsenal face tricky away ties this weekend. Arsenal away at Manchester City, and Man United away at the cauldron known as White Hart Lane. Chelsea, meanwhile, should pick up three easy points with their away match against Portsmouth.

The gap between third and fourth place is a massive 10 points, but there are seven different clubs who all have a shot of claiming fourth place. Those clubs are Everton, Aston Villa, Man City, Liverpool, Portsmouth and West Ham.

Liverpool, this season, has been a shambles. The last time the club has won a Premier League match was when Gerrard scored a last minute winner against Derby on Boxing Day. Sure, Liverpool has a game in hand over the other clubs, but that game in hand won’t be played until March 5th against the team they just lost to last night, West Ham United.

On February 10th, Liverpool faces an away trip to Chelsea’s Stamford Bridge, which looks like it should be an easier win for the Blues than usual.

My prediction for fourth place is Everton. This may change over the next 48 hours, though, if some of the competing clubs are able to pick up some great transfers before the January transfer window closes.

The race at the bottom, meanwhile, is wide open. Derby, of course, looks doomed unless they can perform a miracle. Elsewhere, there are 10 clubs still with a chance of getting relegated: Fulham, Wigan, Birmingham City, Bolton, Reading, Sunderland, Middlesbrough, Newcastle and Tottenham.

Out of those clubs, Spurs look like they’re pushing for a slim hope of a UEFA Cup position rather than relegation, so they’ll be safe unless they return to the form of the early part of the season.

If Middlesbrough can hold on to Stewart Downing, they should be safe to stay in the Premier League despite how inconsistent their performances are.

Reading, based on their spiriting performance last night against Chelsea, should be safe. They still have huge gaps in the defense, but they’re playing with a heart and desire that was missing earlier in the season.

So, to me, it looks more like a battle between seven clubs of surviving the drop: Derby, Fulham, Wigan, Birmingham, Bolton, Sunderland and Newcastle.

My prediction for the drop are Derby, Fulham and Bolton.

This entry was posted in General, Leagues: EPL. Bookmark the permalink.

About Christopher Harris

Founder and publisher of World Soccer Talk, Christopher Harris is the managing editor of the site. He has been interviewed by The New York Times, The Guardian and several other publications. Plus he has made appearances on NPR, BBC World, CBC, BBC Five Live, talkSPORT and beIN SPORT. Harris, who has lived in Florida since 1984, has supported Swansea City since 1979. He's also an expert on soccer in South Florida, and got engaged during half-time of a MLS game. Harris launched EPL Talk in 2005, which was rebranded as World Soccer Talk in 2013.
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2 Responses to Gaps Open at The Top and Bottom of Premier League

  1. tampasoccer says:

    Rafa has to go. We are officially fighting for fourth place. We have never been further away from the title. Houllier looks like an OK manager right about now. What’s Rafa’s excuse this time? This is his team. He is into his third season as a coach. He must take all responsibility. He keeps playing Kuyt, Kewell, Voronin, Riise, who clearly do not deserve to play for Liverpool. I know it is easy to criticize and the whole Rafa has to go has been discussed at length on this blog, but I am disgusted. Keep Reina, Carra, Agger, Aurelio, Xabi, Gerrard, Babel, Benayoun, and Torres(maybe Crouch). Everybody else has to go!

  2. wanderer_abroad says:

    It’s obvious that the gaps are again opening between the top teams at the rest, but the gap has certainly narrowed from previous years. Its good that there’s a proper competition this season for 4th place and a number of teams are vying for those places. I think part of that has been due to the increase in managerial quality. New gaffers such as Juande Ramos and Sven have all pushed the level higher and that can only be good for the English game. Look at the England team today, 5 from Villa! I’m excited that most of 4th place challengers are incorperating English players into the mix. I think next year will prove to be even better though. With City gelled and the addition of new players, Spurs finally settled and leak-free, Everton developing slowely but steadily and Villa (hopefully) maintaining their high standard, the future looks bright!

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